Universal Social Security: seven proposals, one flow of money
Every dollar in the picture below comes from one model, running in your browser. Band width is money; the dots move with it. Press play, pick a proposal to light up its money, or hover anything to see what it is.
The seven proposals
- Social Security for everyone. A weekly deposit from 18, half per child; nobody on it today gets less.
- A Trust Fund that owns stocks. 2.5% of large companies' value a year, in shares, capped at a third of the market.
- Zero income tax under $150,000. No tax and no return below the floor; steep rates on all income above it.
- A land value tax. 2.5% of land value, homes largely exempt, for schools and local government.
- A data-center electricity fee. 12¢ a kilowatt-hour into a fund that pays household electric bills.
- Banks run it. Automated withholding, filing and audits; half the fee builds homes; the fee grows with what banks carry.
- The money dial. The central bank steers the money supply by crediting or withholding the payment fund.
How the money moves, in one paragraph
Income, corporate and other taxes are withheld by banks in real time and swept to the Direct Payment Fund. The central bank credits new money to the fund by a published rule: real growth above 2 percent, less one and a half times any inflation above target; when that number is negative, the fund holds money back and it leaves circulation. From 2036 the Social Security Trust Fund adds a draw. Out of the fund come the lean federal budget (a health public option with a catastrophic cap, disability care, defense, science, courts, and a fixed $1 trillion line that services and then retires the debt), the local essentials grant, the banks' fee and the children's trust deposits; everything else goes back through the banks to every person as a weekly deposit. Large companies deliver 2.5 percent of their value a year in non-voting shares, which banks hold for the Trust Fund until it owns a third of the market; anything above 30 percent is sold into foreign assets. Landowners pay the land value tax through their bank, three quarters to schools and a quarter to local government. Data centers pay 12 cents a kilowatt-hour into a power fund that pays household electric bills. Banks earn half a percent of everything they carry and must put half of their fee on the payment fund into new housing.
Rules worth keeping
Nothing goes from the fund to a person except through a bank account in that person's name. New money follows the rule in statute and never exceeds real output growth less 2 percent; the dial turns down before anyone votes on it. The Trust Fund is pooled (no individual accounts, no inheritance), non-voting, and stops at a third of the U.S. market. Local money stays local: the land tax never enters the national fund. Housing works down the ladder: supportive homes with services first, then the shortage, then retrofits and regions. The models that run the system are open, auditable and overridable by people.
Rollout, easiest first
| Step | Why in this order |
|---|---|
| 1. Real-time bank withholding and automatic filing | Needs banks and a rule, not a new agency. Builds the rails everything else runs on. |
| 2. Social Security for everyone, on Social Security's own rails | The payment system exists; the law to merge programs onto it, with the hold-harmless promise, is the first big vote. |
| 3. Let the Trust Fund hold stocks | A change to the fund's investment law, debated for decades, now with a deadline: 2034. |
| 4. The share levy, banks as custodians, capped and non-voting | The hardest tax vote, and the one that builds the capital leg. |
| 5. Data-center electricity fees through state utility commissions | State by state, where the load is landing now. |
| 6. State and local land value taxes over 5 to 10 years, with a homestead exemption | State law, shifting from buildings to land as assessments catch up. |
| 7. The money dial, by Treasury–Federal Reserve agreement and statute | Hardest and last, and only with the rule written into law. |
Winners and losers
Winners: low- and middle-income households; retirees and people with disabilities, who keep at least today's benefit and pass it as the payment grows; people in care, trades and human services; small-business founders; banks that modernize; AI and technology companies, which get a known levy and a growing customer base instead of an open-ended fight; low-cost regions and data-center regions with cheap clean power.
Losers: payday lenders, collectors and overdraft fees (their customers have money); tax preparation (almost nobody files); billing middlemen; benefit bureaucracies; large passive fortunes and land speculators, who lose share and still grow; employers who relied on desperate workers; routine office and retail jobs, which are displaced and cushioned. A plan that claims to have no losers is hiding something.
What is still open
Where the health catastrophic cap sits. Who is eligible, and when new arrivals join. Whether the deposit counts toward the $150,000 floor (modeled yes). How 401(k)s and pensions fit. Who covers the K-12 gap the land tax leaves. How fast the money dial may turn, and who can suspend it. The model still needs the mobility and education streams, transportation in the inflation model, and a proper 2 percent downside with displacement and without the growth. The risks we take seriously: market repricing on the day a permanent levy is announced; identity fraud when banks handle everything; data-center load that grows slower than assumed; zoning as the real housing bottleneck.
Assumptions behind every number
| Real growth | 5% a year (strong AI); 3% and 2% shown with the buttons |
| Machine share of work | rising to 65% by 2045; halves the wage-tax base, doubles the corporate one |
| Taxes at launch | income 27% of GDP after avoidance, corporate 4%, other 3.7% |
| Money dial | (growth − 2% − 1.5 × (inflation − 2%)) × M2; M2 = 73% of GDP; withholding capped at 4% of M2 a year |
| Trust Fund | levy 2.5% of market value; cap 33%, valve above 30%; returns 7% U.S., 5.5% abroad; draw 1% from 2036 rising to 3% |
| Hold harmless | about 70 million current beneficiaries topped up to today's average retired-worker benefit ($24,852 a year) until the payment passes it |
| Land value tax | 2.5% of land worth 1.2 × GDP, less 8% capitalization and a $200 billion homestead exemption |
| Data centers | 300 TWh in 2027, 650 TWh in 2030, then 8% a year; fee 12¢/kWh; household bills $270 billion |
| Banks | 0.5% of everything carried; half the payment-fund fee as 25% first-loss equity in homes at $350,000 falling 3% a year |
| Federal budget | health $1T falling 2% a year from 2030, defense $0.45T, other $0.6T, debt line $1T |
Sources (7)
- The 2026 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal OASI and DI Trust Funds — Social Security Administration · original · combined trust funds depleted in the third quarter of 2034; reserves about $2.56 trillion at the end of 2025; about 83% of scheduled benefits payable after depletion. Not yet locked.
- Social Security: Selected Findings of the 2026 Annual Report (IF13256) — Congressional Research Service · original · summary of the 2026 Trustees findings. Not yet locked.
- Cost-of-living adjustment for 2026 — Social Security Administration, via Axios · original · average retired-worker benefit about $2,071 a month in January 2026. Not yet locked.
- U.S. equity market capitalization, Research Quarterly — SIFMA · original · about $75 trillion in mid-2026. Not yet locked.
- 2024 United States Data Center Energy Usage Report — Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory · original · Not yet locked.
- Financial Accounts of the United States (Z.1) — Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System · original · land value about 1.2 times GDP; M2 about 73 percent of GDP. Not yet locked.
- Universal Income System: design and model handoff (2026-11-01) — Policy Lab, PLACES I NEVER HEARD OF · the scenario model every page in this series runs, extended on 2026-11-04 with the money dial, the hold-harmless top-up and bank income on every flow.
Numbered references in the text point to this list. "Locked" means we hold a dated copy of the file on the PLACES platform so the figure can be checked later even if the publisher changes the page.